Modeling ASEAN Global Linkages

This study examines the global linkages of selected ASEAN countries composed of Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore and Thailand (hereafter ASEAN-5). While economic growth of each country undoubtedly hinges on domestic developments, it also depends on foreign trade and capital movements in the form of direct and portfolio investments. These external influences are largely driven by global developments, particularly in Japan, other Northeast Asian countries, the United States, the European Union, and within the ASEAN region. While the systematic determinants of the ASEAN-5 countries’ linkages to these regions are relatively stable and robust, our focus is on the short-term dynamics underlying the transmission of income, price and other changes from the global economy.