On mixtures of distributions of Markov chains
Let X be a chain with discrete state space I, and V be the matrix of entries Vi,n, where Vi,n denotes the position of the process immediately after the nth visit to i. We prove that the law of X is a mixture of laws of Markov chains if and only if the distribution of V is invariant under finite permutations within rows (i.e., the Vi,n's are partially exchangeable in the sense of de Finetti). We also prove that an analogous statement holds true for mixtures of laws of Markov chains with a general state space and atomic kernels. Going back to the discrete case, we analyze the relationships between partial exchangeability of V and Markov exchangeability in the sense of Diaconis and Freedman. The main statement is that the former is stronger than the latter, but the two are equivalent under the assumption of recurrence. Combination of this equivalence with the aforesaid representation theorem gives the Diaconis and Freedman basic result for mixtures of Markov chains.
Authors: | Fortini, Sandra ; Ladelli, Lucia ; Petris, Giovanni ; Regazzini, Eugenio |
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Published in: |
Stochastic Processes and their Applications. - Elsevier, ISSN 0304-4149. - Vol. 100, 1-2, p. 147-165
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Publisher: |
Elsevier |
Keywords: | Freedman (Markov) exchangeability Matrix of successor states Mixtures of laws of Markov chains Partial exchangeability (in de Finetti's sense) |
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