Political uncertainty and the 2012 US presidential election : a cointegration study of prediction markets, polls and a stand-out expert
Year of publication: |
December 2015
|
---|---|
Authors: | Goodell, John W. ; McGroarty, Frank ; Urquhart, Andrew |
Published in: |
International review of financial analysis. - Amsterdam [u.a.] : Elsevier, ISSN 1057-5219, ZDB-ID 1133622-5. - Vol. 42.2015, p. 162-171
|
Subject: | Prediction markets | Information aggregating markets | Intrade | Nate Silver | Iowa Presidential Election market | International integration | Futures markets | Präsidentschaftswahl | Presidential election | USA | United States | Prognoseverfahren | Forecasting model | Wahl | Election | Wahlverhalten | Voting behaviour | Prognosemarkt | Prediction market | Kointegration | Cointegration |
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