Pricing in Electricity Markets: a Mean Reverting Jump Diffusion Model with Seasonality
In this paper we present a mean-reverting jump diffusion model for the electricity spot price. We obtain a closed-form solution for forward contracts and calibrate it to market data from England and Wales. Finally, based on the calibrated forward curve we present months, quarters, and seasons-ahead forward surfaces.
Year of publication: |
2005-03
|
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Authors: | Cartea, Alvaro ; Figueroa, Marcelo Gustavo |
Institutions: | Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics |
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