PROGNOSTICATION OF PRODUCTION OF GOODS ON THE BASIS OF FUZZY SETS

In the article the authors forecast the issue of commodities by the enterprises of food retail industry of the Volyn region of Ukraine by the use of the fuzzy sets theory. The algorithm of such foresight consists in passing of the following stages: construction of dynamic rows of issue of ten basic food stuffs in the last few years; equipping them after growth; construction fuzzy interval for every commodity; determination optimistic estimation for every index. On the basis of obtained information the ge neral issue of food products is calculated also in next years. Determination of optimistic estimation is conducted after the original method developed by an author. Basic its idea consists in that an interval which answers the “golden” mean of dynamic row is most credible.