Qualitative Specifics of Various Approaches to the Estimates of the RF Socio-Economic Indicators

Government, business R&D organizations are currently publishing many short-, medium- and long-term forecasts. Herewith, the consumers of such information, as a rule are not aware of the way the estimates were made. As a result, when making a choice, which forecast should the most trustful, the consumers cannot proceed from the method of forecasting. The paper proposes an approach that allows, using fairly simple methods to conduct a comparative analysis of the quality of estimates obtained by different models.