Recurrent Hyperinflations and Learning
We use a model of boundedly rational learning to account for the observations of recurrent hyperinflations in the 1980's. In a standard monetary model we replace the assumption of full rational expectations by a formal definition of quasi-rational learning. The model under learning matches some crucial stylized facts observed during the recurrent hyperinflations experienced by several countries in the 1980's remarkably well. We argue that, despite being a small departure from rational expectations, quasi-rational learning does not preclude falsifiability of the model, it does not violate reasonable rationality requirements, and it can be used for policy evaluation.
Year of publication: |
2003
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Authors: | Marcet, Albert ; Nicolini, Juan P. |
Published in: |
American Economic Review. - American Economic Association - AEA. - Vol. 93.2003, 5, p. 1476-1498
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Publisher: |
American Economic Association - AEA |
Saved in:
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