Ruin probability under compound poisson models with random discount factor

Supply interruptions resulting from unpredictable events, such as machine breakdowns, order cancellations, unscheduled maintenance, and labor strikes can produce adverse effects on the production/inventory system. In this article, we consider a periodic-review inventory system subject to random demand and unreliable supply. The availability of supply is modeled as an alternating renewal process with general distributions for the durations of the UP and DOWN cycles. We consider the lost-sales case and also discuss the backorder case, for both the discounted and long-run average cost criteria. For the linear cost model, we derive the structural properties and bounds of the optimal policy. We also propose the “end-of-cycle” inventory return contract and show that it may be mutually beneficial to both the firm and the supplier.