Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future : Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies

Online-Ressource (XVIII, 292 p. 48 illus., 6 illus. in color, digital)

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Contents; List of Contributors; About the Authors; Chapter 1: The Meaning of Foresight for Science, Technology and Innovation Policy; Part I: Instruments and Tools for Foresight Studies; Chapter 2: Integrated Framework for Evaluation of National Foresight Studies; 2.1 Introduction; 2.2 Case Studies; 2.2.1 Hungarian Technology Foresight Programme (TEP); 2.2.2 United Kingdom Foresight Programme; 2.2.3 Vision 2023: Strategies for Science and Technology; 2.2.4 Colombian Technology Foresight Programme; 2.3 Project Management Experience; 2.4 Findings; 2.4.1 Evaluation Criteria

2.4.2 Evaluation Framework2.5 Conclusion; References; Chapter 3: Results and Impact of National Foresight-Studies; 3.1 Introduction; 3.2 Model for Assessing the Impact of Foresight Studies; 3.3 Impact of National Foresight Studies; 3.3.1 Impact on National Innovation Policy; 3.3.2 Impact of Foresight Studies on National Innovation Performance; 3.4 Conclusions; References; Chapter 4: Instruments to measure Foresight; 4.1 Features and Characteristics of Foresight; 4.2 Foresight Methodologies; 4.3 Foresight Indicators; 4.4 Conclusions; References

Chapter 5: Interactive Impacts - Foresight as a Product, Service and Coproduction Process5.1 Introduction; 5.2 What Are Services?; 5.3 Foresight as a Service Activity; 5.4 Learning; Notes; References; Chapter 6: Systemic Foresight Methodology; 6.1 Introduction; 6.2 Foresight: The Evolution of Practice; 6.3 Systems Thinking; 6.4 Systemic Foresight Methodology (SFM); 6.4.1 Background of the SFM; 6.4.1.1 Behavioural Matters in Foresight; 6.4.2 The Phases of the SFM; 6.4.2.1 Intelligence (Scoping Phase: Surveying, Scanning, Evidence)

6.4.2.2 Imagination (Creative Phase: Concepts, Models, Scenarios, Visions)6.4.2.3 Integration (Ordering Phase: Analysis, Negotiations, Priorities); 6.4.2.4 Interpretation (Strategy Phase: Agendas, Strategies); 6.4.2.5 Intervention (Action Phase: Plans, Policies, Actions); 6.4.2.6 Impact (Evaluation Phase); 6.4.2.7 Interaction (Participative and Interactive Phase); 6.4.3 The Use of Methods in the Systemic Foresight Methodology; 6.5 SFM in Practice: Two Case Examples; 6.5.1 Systemic Foresight in Higher Education Institutions; 6.5.1.1 The Process

Project Proposal and Definition of the Project GoalsIntelligence: Understanding Systems, Elements and Relationships; Imagination: Modelling Construction 2023; Integration: Analysis and Vision Building; Interpretation: Transformation; Intervention: Actions; 6.5.1.2 The Outcomes; 6.5.2 Development of a Methodology for a Regional Foresight exercise; 6.5.2.1 Technology Path; 6.5.2.2 Structural Path; 6.5.2.3 Policy Path; 6.6 Discussion; 6.7 Conclusions; References; Part II: Foresight Instruments for Innovative Markets; Chapter 7: Sectoral Foresight Studies: Future Perspectives of Nanotechnologies

7.1 Introduction

10.1007/978-3-642-31827-6 [DOI]

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