Short-Termed Integrated Forecasting System: 1993 Model documentation report
The purpose of this report is to define the Short-Term Integrated Forecasting System (STIFS) and describe its basic properties. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) of the US Energy Department (DOE) developed the STIFS model to generate short-term (up to 8 quarters), monthly forecasts of US supplies, demands, imports exports, stocks, and prices of various forms of energy. The models that constitute STIFS generate forecasts for a wide range of possible scenarios, including the following ones done routinely on a quarterly basis: A base (mid) world oil price and medium economic growth. A low world oil price and high economic growth. A high world oil price and low economic growth. This report is written for persons who want to know how short-term energy markets forecasts are produced by EIA. The report is intended as a reference document for model analysts, users, and the public.
Year of publication: |
2008-02-12
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Subject: | energy planning, policy and economy | ENERGY | FORECASTING | ENERGY MODELS | DOCUMENTATION | SUPPLY AND DEMAND | PRODUCTION | PETROLEUM PRODUCTS | ELECTRIC POWER | COAL | NATURAL GAS | US ENERGY INFORMATION ADMINISTRATION | PRICES | SALES | IMPORTS | FUEL CONSUMPTION | RESIDENTIAL SECTOR | COMMERCIAL SECTOR | TRANSPORTATION SECTOR |
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