Small steps to accuracy : Incremental belief updaters are better forecasters
Year of publication: |
2020
|
---|---|
Authors: | Atanasov, Pavel ; Witkowski, Jens ; Ungar, Lyle ; Mellers, Barbara A. ; Tetlock, Philip E. |
Published in: |
Organizational behavior and human decision processes : a journal of fundamental research and theory in applied psychology. - Amsterdam [u.a.] : Elsevier, ISSN 0749-5978, ZDB-ID 629198-3. - Vol. 160.2020, p. 19-35
|
Subject: | Belief revision | Belief updating | Forecasting | Prediction | Prognoseverfahren | Forecasting model | Erwartungsbildung | Expectation formation | Frühindikator | Leading indicator | Bayes-Statistik | Bayesian inference |
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