Testing the effectiveness of debiasing techniques to reduce overprecision in the elicitation of subjective continuous probability distributions
| Year of publication: |
2023
|
|---|---|
| Authors: | Ferretti, Valentina ; Montibeller, Gilberto ; Winterfeldt, Detlof von |
| Published in: |
European journal of operational research : EJOR. - Amsterdam : Elsevier, ISSN 0377-2217, ZDB-ID 243003-4. - Vol. 304.2023, 2 (16.1.), p. 661-675
|
| Subject: | Behavioral OR | Debiasing | Expert judgment | Judgment calibration | Overconfidence | Overprecision | Experiment | Entscheidung | Decision | Theorie | Theory | Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung | Probability theory |
-
Soll, Jack B., (2024)
-
Simplified mental representations as a cause of overprecision
López-Pérez, Raúl, (2021)
-
Better calibration when predicting from experience (rather than description)
Camilleri, Adrian R., (2019)
- More ...
-
Montibeller, Gilberto, (2022)
-
Barcus, Ana, (2008)
-
Decision and risk analysis for the evaluation of strategic options
Montibeller, Gilberto, (2007)
- More ...