Tests for multiple forecast encompassing
In the evaluation of economic forecasts, it is frequently the case that comparisons are made between a number of competing predictors. A natural question to ask in such contexts is whether one forecast encompasses its competitors, in the sense that they contain no useful information not present in the superior forecast. We develop tests for this notion of multiple forecast encompassing which are robust to properties expected in the forecast errors, and apply the tests to forecasts of UK growth and inflation. Copyright © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Year of publication: |
2000
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Authors: | Harvey, David ; Newbold, Paul |
Published in: |
Journal of Applied Econometrics. - John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.. - Vol. 15.2000, 5, p. 471-482
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Publisher: |
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. |
Saved in:
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