Timing and Sequencing of Reforms: Competing Views and the Role of Credibility.

Opposing recommendations with respect to key sequencing issues characterize the controversy between the advocates of the orthodox approach and the political economy approach. It is suggested that the concept of credibility provides a fruitful link between both categories of proposals. Historical lessons as well as the recent experience of developing countries and economies in transition support this view and help determine the proper reform sequence. Stressing the role of initial conditions, different sequencing tactics are recommended for developing countries and postsocialist economies. In particular, the optimal order of domestic financial market reform and privatization differs for both groups of countries. Copyright 1993 by WWZ and Helbing & Lichtenhahn Verlag AG