Two reasons to make aggregated probability forecasts more extreme
Year of publication: |
2014
|
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Authors: | Baron, Jonathan ; Mellers, Barbara A. ; Tetlock, Philip E. ; Stone, Eric ; Ungar, Lyle H. |
Published in: |
Decision analysis : a journal of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences, INFORMS. - Catonsville, MD : Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences, ISSN 1545-8490, ZDB-ID 2141455-5. - Vol. 11.2014, 2, p. 133-145
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Subject: | forecasting | aggregation | wisdom of crowds | confidence | Prognoseverfahren | Forecasting model | Aggregation | Theorie | Theory | Prognose | Forecast | Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung | Probability theory | Vertrauen | Confidence | Wirtschaftsprognose | Economic forecast |
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