Siliverstovs, Boriss - In: Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics 147 (2011) 3, pp. 353-375
We investigate whether the KOF Economic Barometer - a leading indicator released by the KOF Swiss Economic Institute - is useful for short-term prediction of quarterly year-on-year real GDP growth in Switzerland. Using a real-time data set consisting of historical vintages of GDP data and the...