Alessandria, George A.; Khan, Shafaat Yar; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
We use the dynamics of U.S. imports across goods in the period around the U.S.-China trade war with a model of exporter … China would face Non-Normal Trade Relations tariffs in the future. Our findings imply that the expected mean future U ….S. tariff on China rose more under President Biden than under President Trump. We also show that the trade response to the trade …