Golan, Amos; Perloff, Jeffrey M. - Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, … - 2002
We use a nonlinear, nonparametric method to forecast the unemployment rates. We compare these forecasts to several linear and nonlinear parametric methods based on the work of Montgomery et al. (1998) and Carruth et al. (1998). Our main result is that, due to the nonlin-earity in the data...