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~isPartOf:"CESifo working papers"
~isPartOf:"NBER working paper series"
~subject:"Wechselkurs"
~subject:"Wirtschaftsprognose"
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Wechselkurs
Wirtschaftsprognose
Forecasting model
409
Prognoseverfahren
409
Theorie
248
Theory
248
Prognose
220
Forecast
219
Inflation targeting
179
Inflationssteuerung
179
Geldpolitik
161
Monetary policy
160
Economic forecast
117
Estimation
112
Schätzung
112
Welt
81
World
81
USA
74
United States
74
Capital income
67
Kapitaleinkommen
67
Frühindikator
56
Leading indicator
56
Inflation
49
Time series analysis
48
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48
Exchange rate
46
Börsenkurs
43
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43
Inflation expectations
37
Inflationserwartung
37
Erwartungsbildung
36
Expectation formation
36
Deutschland
34
Economic growth
34
Germany
34
Wirtschaftswachstum
34
Business cycle
31
Central bank
31
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Arbeitspapier
64
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64
Graue Literatur
61
Non-commercial literature
61
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English
160
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Lehmann, Robert
8
Chinn, Menzie D.
6
Gorodnichenko, Yuriy
6
Wohlrabe, Klaus
6
Zarnowitz, Victor
6
Coibion, Olivier
5
Diebold, Francis X.
5
Cheung, Yin-Wong
4
Pesaran, M. Hashem
4
Schorfheide, Frank
4
Svensson, Lars E.O.
4
Wolfers, Justin
4
Bloom, Nicholas
3
De Grauwe, Paul
3
Engel, Charles
3
Lahiri, Kajal
3
Zitzewitz, Eric
3
Altig, David
2
Barrero, Jose Maria
2
Bauer, Michael D.
2
Baumeister, Christiane
2
Bloom, David E.
2
Bordalo, Pedro
2
Cheng, Yang
2
Chinn, Menzie David
2
Cumby, Robert E.
2
Davis, Steven J.
2
Faust, Jon
2
Frankel, Jeffrey A.
2
Gennaioli, Nicola
2
Goetzmann, William N.
2
Gordon, Robert J.
2
Guérin, Pierre
2
Hashimoto, Yuko
2
Henzel, Steffen
2
Ito, Takatoshi
2
Laséen, Stefan
2
Meyer, Brent H.
2
Mihaylov, Emil
2
Mulligan, Casey B.
2
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National Bureau of Economic Research
119
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CESifo working papers
NBER working paper series
International journal of forecasting
327
Journal of forecasting
127
OECD Economic Outlook: Statistics and Projections
116
Working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
106
Discussion paper / Centre for Economic Policy Research
103
NBER Working Paper
96
Studies on Russian economic development : the official journal of the Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences
75
Regional economic outlook / Sub-Saharan Africa
73
European economy
71
Working paper
70
Economic modelling
69
Regional Economic Outlook
67
World economic outlook
67
IMF working papers
66
Journal of international money and finance
64
Applied economics
60
World Bank E-Library Archive
55
Working paper series / European Central Bank
51
Economics letters
49
Applied economics letters
47
ECB Working Paper
47
Economic Updates and Modeling
47
Wirtschaftsdienst : Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik
47
Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for Advanced Studies, Vienna, Austria
44
European economic forecast
44
Journal of applied econometrics
44
Monatsberichte / WIFO, Österreichisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung
44
Global economics paper
41
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a publication of the American Statistical Association
41
EIU special report
38
DIW weekly report : economy, politics, science : a policy bulletin from the German Institute for Economic Research
36
Ekonomický časopis : časopis pre ekonomickú teóriu, hospodársku politiku, spoločensko-ekonomické prognózovanie
34
Report / IMK, Institut für Makroökonomie und Konjunkturforschung
33
Discussion papers / CEPR
32
Journal of econometrics
32
Journal of macroeconomics
30
National Institute economic review
30
Finance and economics discussion series
29
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ECONIS (ZBW)
160
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1
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160
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1
Forecasting with panel data : estimation uncertainty versus parameter heterogeneity
Pesaran, M. Hashem
;
Pick, Andreas
;
Timmermann, Allan
-
2022
forecasts based on pooled and individual estimates and develop a novel
forecast
poolability test that can be used as a … stock returns, we show that no single forecasting approach dominates uniformly. However,
forecast
combination and shrinkage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013176894
Saved in:
2
Forecasting regional industrial production with high-frequency electricity consumption data
Lehmann, Robert
;
Möhrle, Sascha
-
2022
avenue to measure and
forecast
regional economic activity. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013362425
Saved in:
3
ROC and PRC approaches to evaluate recession forecasts
Lahiri, Kajal
;
Cheng, Yang
-
2023
imbalance and
forecast
bias. We found that in cases of severe class imbalance, the forecasts need to be adequately biased to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014284725
Saved in:
4
Pandemic-Era Uncertainty
Meyer, Brent H.
;
Mihaylov, Emil
;
Barrero, Jose Maria
; …
-
National Bureau of Economic Research
-
2022
-year VIX and our survey-based measure of firm-level uncertainty at a one-year
forecast
horizon doubled at the onset of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013191053
Saved in:
5
Real-Time Forecasting with a (Standard) Mixed-Frequency VAR During a Pandemic
Schorfheide, Frank
;
Song, Dongho
-
National Bureau of Economic Research
-
2021
to the median
forecast
from the Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF). While the MF-VAR performed poorly during 2020:Q …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012794563
Saved in:
6
Electoral cycles in macroeconomic forecasts
Cipullo, Davide
;
Reslow, André
-
2021
This paper documents the existence of Political
Forecast
Cycles. In a theoretical model of political selection, we show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012514965
Saved in:
7
Boosting tax revenues with mixed-frequency data in the aftermath of Covid-19 : the case of New York
Lahiri, Kajal
;
Cheng, Yang
-
2021
We
forecast
New York state tax revenues with a mixed-frequency model using a number of machine learning techniques. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012649777
Saved in:
8
Biased Surveys
Valchev, Rosen
;
Gemmi, Luca
-
National Bureau of Economic Research
-
2023
consistent with a model of strategic diversification incentives in
forecast
reporting. Our results caution against the use of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337840
Saved in:
9
The macroeconomic projections of the German government : a comparison to an independent forecasting institution
Lehmann, Robert
;
Wollmershäuser, Timo
-
2019
the Joint Economic
Forecast
, which is an in-dependent forecasting institution in Germany. Our results indicate that … nominal GDP projections are upward biased for longer
forecast
horizons, which seems to be driven by a false assessment of the … government also deviates from the projections of the Joint Economic
Forecast
, which in fact worsened the
forecast
accuracy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011958832
Saved in:
10
Tracking and predicting the German economy : ifo vs. PMI
Lehmann, Robert
;
Reif, Magnus
-
2020
are provided by the ifo Institute and IHS Markit. We conduct an out-of-sample, real-time
forecast
experiment for growth of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012174766
Saved in:
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