Alkema, Leontine; Raftery, Adrian; Gerland, Patrick; … - In: Demographic Research 26 (2012) 15, pp. 331-362
We develop a method to estimate and assess uncertainty in the total fertility rate over time. Our estimates are based on multiple imperfect observations from different data sources including surveys and censuses. We take account of measurement error by decomposing it into bias and variance and...