Carstensen, Kai; Reif, Magnus; Wolters, Maik H. - In: Ifo-Schnelldienst 72 (2019) 5, pp. 28-31
-term economic weakness, or can a prolonged recession be expected? Kai Carstensen of the University of Kiel, Magnus Reif of the ifo … Institute, and Maik Wolters of the University of Jena estimate the current risk of recession using a dynamic, nonlinear factor … model. Their results suggest that the risk of a recession is currently significantly higher and that a phase of economic …