Benzell, Seth G.; Kotlikoff, Laurence J.; Kazakova, Marija - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022
productivity growth using each region's long-term record, predict China and India becoming the world's top two economic hegemons … rates in China and other regions due to population aging, and permanent differences in regional living standards. Our … pace, India will account for one third of 2100 world output and China for over one fifth. The US output share will grow …