Chinn, Menzie David - 2012
EU members, including the UK, join EMU by 2020 or else the recent depreciation trend of the dollar persists into the …: size of the home country, inflation rate (or lagged depreciation trend), exchange rate variability, and size of the … of the historical data set. So we estimate parameters on pre-1999 data, and then use them to forecast the EMU era. The …