DiFilippo, Michael; Krieger, Kevin; Davis, Justin; … - In: Journal of Sports Economics 15 (2014) 2, pp. 201-211
authors present evidence that this anecdotal belief holds true over the 2000-2010 National Football League (NFL) seasons. This … significantly lower in Week 1 of NFL seasons, bookmakers fail to reduce the total lines posted on these games. The authors find a … strategy betting under total lines of all Week 1 games over the 2000-2010 NFL seasons yields a statistically significant return …