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1
Mildly Explosive Dynamics in U.S. Fixed Income Markets
Contessi, Silvio
-
2020
We use a recently developed right-tail variation of the Augmented Dickey-Fuller unit root test to identify and date-stamp periods of mildly explosive behavior in the weekly time series of seven U.S. fixed income yield spreads between September 2002 and January 2015. We find statistically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012853831
Saved in:
2
Mildly explosive dynamics in U.S. fixed income markets
Contessi, Silvio
;
De Pace, Pierangelo
;
Guidolin, Massimo
-
2020
-
This version: January 14, 2020
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012493351
Saved in:
3
Multinational Firms' Entry and Productivity : Some Aggregate Implications of Firm-Level Heterogeneity
Contessi, Silvio
-
2017
Despite the microeconomic evidence supporting the superior idiosyncratic productivity of multinational firms (MNFs) and their affiliates, cross-country studies fail to find robust evidence of a positive relationship between foreign direct investment and growth. In order to study the aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970795
Saved in:
4
Mildly explosive dynamics in U.S. fixed income markets
Contessi, Silvio
;
De Pace, Pierangelo
;
Guidolin, Massimo
- In:
European journal of operational research : EJOR
287
(
2020
)
2
,
pp. 712-724
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012293943
Saved in:
5
Multinational Firms' Entry and Productivity : Some Aggregate Implications of Firm-Level Heterogeneity
Contessi, Silvio
-
2015
Despite the microeconomic evidence supporting the superior idiosyncratic productivity of multinational firms (MFN) and their affiliates, cross-country studies fail to find robust evidence of a positive relationship between Foreign Direct Investment and growth. In order to study the aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013016836
Saved in:
6
Financial choice and international trade
Cho, Ilhyun
;
Contessi, Silvio
;
Russ, Katheryn Niles
; …
- In:
Journal of economic behavior & organization : JEBO
157
(
2019
),
pp. 297-319
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012138492
Saved in:
7
How Did the Financial Crisis Alter the Correlations of U.S. Yield Spreads?
Contessi, Silvio
-
2014
We investigate the pairwise correlations of 11 U.S. fixed income yield spreads over a sample that includes the Great Financial Crisis of 2007-2009. Using cross-sectional methods and nonparametric bootstrap breakpoint tests, we characterize the crisis as a period in which pairwise correlations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013064639
Saved in:
8
International Trade, Female Labor, and Entrepreneurship in MENA Countries
Contessi, Silvio
-
2014
Middle Eastern and North African (MENA) countries stand out in international comparisons of de jure obstacles to female employment and entrepreneurship. These obstacles manifest themselves in low rates of female labor participation, entrepreneurship, and ownership. Recent research suggests a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065113
Saved in:
9
Understanding the Accumulation of Bank and Thrift Reserves During the U.S. Financial Crisis
Chang, Su-Hsin
-
2014
The level of aggregate excess reserves held by U.S. depository institutions increased significantly at the peak of the 2007-09 financial crisis. Although the amount of aggregate reserves is determined almost entirely by the policy initiatives of the central bank that act on the asset side of its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013062488
Saved in:
10
Three faces of low inflation: U.S., Japan and the Euro area
Contessi, Silvio
;
Li, Li
- In:
The Regional Economist
(
2014
)
July
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010798462
Saved in:
11
Debt crisis in Europe is easing, but stability remains a long way off
Contessi, Silvio
;
Li, Li
- In:
The Regional Economist
(
2014
)
April
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010765403
Saved in:
12
Around the World, Gender Gaps Ebb and Flow
Contessi, Silvio
;
Li, Li
- In:
The Regional Economist
(
2014
)
Jan
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010741525
Saved in:
13
An international perspective on the recent behavior of inflation
Contessi, Silvio
;
Li, Li
;
De Pace, Pierangelo
- In:
Review
96
(
2014
)
3
,
pp. 267-294
Several commentators have been concerned about the possibility that the euro area may be experiencing disinflation with the risk of deflation. However, the euro area is not the only economy navigating the risky waters of low inflation. Several other advanced economies have recently experienced...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011026870
Saved in:
14
From "man-cession" to "he-covery": same old, same old
Contessi, Silvio
;
Li, Li
- In:
Economic Synopses
(
2013
)
The male labor force was hit harder during the recent recession because more jobs were lost in occupations and sectors that traditionally employ more men.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010727235
Saved in:
15
Translating Kurzarbeit
Contessi, Silvio
;
Li, Li
- In:
Economic Synopses
(
2013
)
With more research and given the limits of conventional fiscal and monetary policies in addressing the consequences of jobless recoveries, a U.S. version of Kurzarbeit may provide another option in the policymaker’s toolkit.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010727245
Saved in:
16
Bank vs. bond financing over the business cycle
Contessi, Silvio
;
Li, Li
;
Russ, Katheryn
- In:
Economic Synopses
(
2013
)
While bank lending contracts during the typical recession, liquidity in bond markets may not.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010727247
Saved in:
17
Rent or buy?
Contessi, Silvio
;
Li, Li
- In:
Economic Synopses
(
2013
)
The residential real estate market showed additional signs of improvement in 2012, though the recovery has been quite different for single-family compared with multifamily markets.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010727262
Saved in:
18
Forward guidance 101A: a roadmap of the U.S. experience
Contessi, Silvio
;
Li, Li
- In:
Economic Synopses
(
2013
)
Forward guidance consists of communicating to the public the stance of monetary policy that is expected to prevail in the future.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010727265
Saved in:
19
Forward guidance 101B: a roadmap of the international experience
Contessi, Silvio
;
Li, Li
- In:
Economic Synopses
(
2013
)
The Federal Reserve is just one of several central banks that have adopted forward guidance since the beginning of the financial crisis and in an environment of near-zero policy rates (zero lower bound).
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010727268
Saved in:
20
Forward guidance 101B: a roadmap of the international experience
Contessi, Silvio
;
Li, Li
- In:
Economic Synopses
(
2013
)
The Federal Reserve is just one of several central banks that have adopted forward guidance since the beginning of the financial crisis and in an environment of near-zero policy rates (zero lower bound).
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010705727
Saved in:
21
Understanding the accumulation of bank and thrift reserves during the U.S. financial crisis
Chang, Su-Hsin
;
Contessi, Silvio
;
Francis, Johanna L.
-
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
-
2013
The level of aggregate excess reserves held by U.S. depository institutions increased significantly at the peak of the financial crisis of 2007-09. Although the amount of aggregate reserves is almost entirely determined by the policy initiatives of the central bank that act on the asset side of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010705756
Saved in:
22
International trade, female labor, and entrepreneurship in MENA countries
Contessi, Silvio
;
Nicola, Francesca de
;
Li, Li
- In:
Review
(
2013
)
Jan
,
pp. 89-114
Middle Eastern and North African (MENA) countries stand out in international comparisons of de jure obstacles to female employment and entrepreneurship. These obstacles manifest themselves in low rates of female labor participation, entrepreneurship, and ownership. Recent research suggests a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011026876
Saved in:
23
Multifamily rental housing is growing: “yesterday’s buyer is today’s tenant”
Contessi, Silvio
;
Li, Li
- In:
The Regional Economist
(
2013
)
Jan
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011027049
Saved in:
24
Current risks from exports and foreign sales
Contessi, Silvio
;
Li, Li
- In:
Economic Synopses
(
2013
)
Consistent with national data, foreign sales of affiliates of U.S. multinational firms headquartered in the Eight Federal Reserve District are larger for Europe and the Asia Pacific region—not Mexico and Canada, the major U.S. trading partners.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011027097
Saved in:
25
How did the financial crisis alter the correlations of U.S. yield spreads?
Contessi, Silvio
;
Pace, Pierangelo De
;
Guidolin, Massimo
-
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
-
2013
We investigate the pairwise correlations of 11 U.S. fixed income yield spreads over a sample that includes the Great Financial Crisis of 2007-2009. Using cross-sectional methods and non- parametric bootstrap breakpoint tests, we characterize the crisis as a period in which pairwise correlations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010607625
Saved in:
26
Understanding the accumulation of bank and thrift reserves during the U.S. financial crisis
Chang, Su-Hsin
;
Contessi, Silvio
;
Francis, Johanna L.
-
2013
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010193412
Saved in:
27
How did the financial crisis alter the correlations of U.S. yield spreads?
Contessi, Silvio
;
De Pace, Pierangelo
;
Guidolin, Massimo
-
2013
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009704261
Saved in:
28
What Do We Know About the Relationship between Access to Finance and International Trade?
Contessi, Silvio
-
2013
The recent financial crisis has focused attention on the relationship between access to finance and international trade, triggering a burgeoning segment of the literature evaluating this link empirically. We review the role of finance in international trade and the main theories connecting them....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089746
Saved in:
29
An application of conventional sovereign debt sustainability analysis to the current debt crises
Contessi, Silvio
- In:
Review
(
2012
)
May
,
pp. 197-220
The developing international debt crisis has unleashed unanticipated fears that governments in some advanced economies may default on their sovereign debt and trigger a global financial tsunami. This article provides a primer on sovereign debt sustainability and interprets the recent experience...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010727069
Saved in:
30
Foreign direct investment in the United States during the financial crisis
Contessi, Silvio
;
Li, Li
- In:
Economic Synopses
(
2012
)
FDI flows from overseas parent companies contracted, but intracompany debt and reinvested earnings were affected much more than equity FDI.>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010727256
Saved in:
31
Get by with a little help from my…other exports
Contessi, Silvio
;
Li, Li
- In:
Economic Synopses
(
2012
)
The European debt crisis could certainly affect the U.S. economy through other channels…but its direct impact on U.S. exports is likely to be small.>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011027092
Saved in:
32
What do we know about the relationship between access to finance and international trade?
Contessi, Silvio
;
Nicola, Francesca de
-
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
-
2012
In part as a response to the recent financial crisis, the relationship between access to finance and international trade has received much attention in the recent years. This article reviews trade finance, its role and functioning. It discusses the relevance of the more general concept of access...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010592582
Saved in:
33
International trade, female labor, and entrepreneurship in MENA countries
Contessi, Silvio
;
Nicola, Francesca de
;
Li, Li
-
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
-
2012
Middle Eastern and North African (MENA) countries stand out in international comparisons of de jure obstacles to female employment and entrepreneurship. These obstacles are mirrored in low female labor rate participation and low entrepreneurship and ownership rates. Recent research suggests a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010592584
Saved in:
34
The role of financing in international trade during good times and bad
Contessi, Silvio
;
Nicola, Francesca de
- In:
The Regional Economist
(
2012
)
Jan
The collapse of trade during the financial crisis can be tied, for the most part, to a drop in demand. Less talked about, however, is the role of financing—or lack thereof.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009416023
Saved in:
35
International trade, female labor, and entrepreneurship in MENA countries
Contessi, Silvio
-
2012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009655451
Saved in:
36
The Cyclical Properties of Disaggregated Capital Flows
Contessi, Silvio
-
2012
We analyze the second-moment properties of the components of international capital flows and their relationship to business cycle variables (output, investment, and real interest rate) in 22 industrial and emerging countries. Total inward flows are procyclical with respect to all three macro...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012712571
Saved in:
37
Multinational Firms’ Entry, Productivity, and Inefficiency
Contessi, Silvio
-
2012
Despite the microeconomic evidence supporting the superior idiosyncratic productivity of multinational firms (MNFs) and their affiliates, cross-country studies fail to find robust evidence of a positive relationship between foreign direct investment and growth. In order to study the aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014189737
Saved in:
38
The (Non-)Resiliency of Foreign Direct Investment in the United States During the 2007-2009 Financial Crisis
Contessi, Silvio
-
2012
We study the contraction of foreign direct investment (FDI) flows in the United States during the recent financial crisis and show their unusual non-resiliency, which depends in part on the global nature of the economic recession, but also on the increases in the cost of financing FDI in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107836
Saved in:
39
The (Non-)Resiliency of Foreign Direct Investment in the United States During the 2007-2009 Financial Crisis
Contessi, Silvio
-
2012
We study the contraction of foreign direct investment (FDI) flows in the United States during the recent financial crisis and show their unusual non-resiliency, which depends in part on the global nature of the economic recession, but also on the increases in the cost of financing FDI in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013111001
Saved in:
40
What do we know about the relationship between access to finance and international trade?
Nicola, Francesca de
;
Contessi, Silvio
-
2012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009655450
Saved in:
41
Are bank reserves and bank lending connected?
Contessi, Silvio
- In:
Economic Synopses
(
2011
)
As long as the strength of the recovery remains uncertain, there are few other investment opportunities, after adjusting for risk and taxes, with anticipated returns greater than the near-zero interest the Federal Reserve pays on deposits.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008862216
Saved in:
42
TARP beneficiaries and their lending patterns during the financial crisis
Contessi, Silvio
;
Francis, Johanna L.
- In:
Review
(
2011
)
Mar
,
pp. 105-126
This paper provides a systematic analysis of the lending performance of U.S. commercial banks and savings institutions that received financial support through the Capital Purchase Program (CPP) established in October 2008. The authors combine U.S. Treasury data on recipients of the CPP with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008871068
Saved in:
43
Banking crises around the world: different governments, different responses
Contessi, Silvio
;
El-Ghazaly, Hoda S.
- In:
The Regional Economist
(
2011
)
Apr
,
pp. 10-16
Over the past 40 years, there have been more than 120 banking crises around the world. Different governments have responded in different ways. The gross and net costs as a percentage of GDP range wildly, anywhere from less than 1 percent to well beyond 30 percent.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008917683
Saved in:
44
U.S. trade springs back
Contessi, Silvio
;
El-Ghazaly, Hoda
- In:
Economic Synopses
(
2011
)
The evidence suggests that the combination of a slowdown in trade finance and inventory adjustments likely explain the recent trade dynamics.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009024076
Saved in:
45
The (non-)resiliency of foreign direct investment in the United States during the 2007-2009 financial crisis
Contessi, Silvio
;
Pace, Pierangelo De
-
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
-
2011
We study the contraction of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) flows in the United States during the recent financial crisis and show their unusual non-resiliency, which depends in part on the global nature of the economic recession, but also on the increases in the cost of financing FDI in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009357967
Saved in:
46
The (non-)resiliency of foreign direct investment in the United States during the 2007-2009 financial crisis
Contessi, Silvio
;
De Pace, Pierangelo
-
2011
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009380039
Saved in:
47
Changes in the Second-Moment Properties of Disaggregated Capital Flows
Contessi, Silvio
-
2011
Using formal statistical tests, we detect (i) significant volatility increases for various types of capital flows for a period of changes in business cycle comovement among the G7 countries, and (ii) mixed evidence of changes in covariances and correlations with a set of macroeconomic variables
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133294
Saved in:
48
The trade collapse: lining up the suspects
Contessi, Silvio
;
El-Ghazaly, Hoda S.
- In:
The Regional Economist
(
2010
)
Apr
,
pp. 10-11
Don't blame trade restrictions this time. Instead, the three culprits are the credit crunch, the "compositional effect" and the trend away from making an entire product in one country.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008616962
Saved in:
49
Changes in the Second-Moment Properties of Disaggregated Capital Flows
Contessi, Silvio
;
Pace, Pierangelo De
;
Francis, Johanna
-
Economics Department, Fordham University
-
2010
Using formal statistical tests, we detect (i) significant volatility increases for various types of capital flows for a period of changes in business cycle comovement among the G7 countries, and (ii) mixed evidence of changes in covariances and correlations with a set of macroeconomic variables.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008684954
Saved in:
50
What happens when Wal-Mart comes to your country? multinational firms' entry, productivity, and inefficiency
Contessi, Silvio
-
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
-
2010
Despite the microeconomic evidence supporting the superior idiosyncratic productivity of multinational firms (MFN) and their affiliates, cross-country studies fail to find robust evidence of a positive relationship between Foreign Direct Investment and growth. In order to study the aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008690976
Saved in:
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