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Search: ("Geldumlauf" OR "Inflation" OR "Konjunktur") AND NOT isPartOf:Wirtschaftsdienst
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1
Does the Euro-Zone Diverge? A Stress Indicator for Analyzing Trends and Cycles in Real GDP and
Inflation
Flaig, Gebhard
;
Wollmershaeuser, Timo
-
2021
and
inflation
in the member countries. Stress in a country is defined as the difference between the country's actual short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317182
Saved in:
2
Hong Kong Output Dynamics : An Empirical Analysis
Cheung, Yin-Wong
-
2021
Advanced statistical techniques are used to analyze Hong Kong output dynamics. Hong Kong, Japan and the U.S. are found to share some common long-term and short-term cyclical variations. While the Hong Kong economy is susceptible to external shocks and Granger-caused by the other two economies,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013321022
Saved in:
3
Macroeconomic Uncertainty and the Impact of Oil Shocks
Van Robays, Ine
-
2014
This paper evaluates whether macroeconomic uncertainty changes the impact of oil shocks on the oil price. Using a structural threshold VAR model, we endogenously identify different regimes of uncertainty in which we estimate the effects of oil demand and supply shocks. The results show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065379
Saved in:
4
Shocks to Bank Lending, Risk-Taking, Securitization, and Their Role for U.S. Business Cycle Fluctuations
Peersman, Gert
-
2014
type of shock. Expansionary securitization shocks lead to a permanent rise in real GDP and a fall in
inflation
. Bank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055428
Saved in:
5
The Role of Monetary Aggregates in the Policy Analysis of the Swiss National Bank
Kirchgässner, Gebhard
-
2013
quantity of money and or excess money can be used to forecast
inflation
. After a preliminary data analysis, money demand …. Using recursive estimates, indicator properties of monetary aggregates for
inflation
are assessed for the period from 2000 … the one for M2 is strongly influenced by these three observations. While in both cases forecasts for 2010 show
inflation
…
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095154
Saved in:
6
Vote Buying or (Political) Business (Cycles) as Usual?
Aidt, Toke Skovsgaard
;
Asatryan, Zareh
;
Badalyan, Lusine
; …
-
2021
We study the short-run effect of elections on monetary aggregates in a sample of 85 low and middle income democracies (1975-2009). We find an increase in the growth rate of M1 during election months of about one tenth of a standard deviation. A similar effect can neither be detected in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315531
Saved in:
7
The G7 Business Cycle in a Globalized World
Carstensen, Kai
-
2016
short-term fluctuations in important other national G7 variables such as employment, the current account balance,
inflation
…, and
inflation
volatility, and in global macroeconomic indicators like the oil price, world stock market returns, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012986109
Saved in:
8
Real Effects of Quantitative Easing at the Zero-Lower Bound : Structural VAR-Based Evidence from Japan
Schenkelberg, Heike
-
2013
, the effect on
inflation
is not significantly different from zero. This suggests that while the Japanese Quantitative … Easing experiment was successful in stimulating real activity in the shortrun, it did not lead to any increase in
inflation
…
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092811
Saved in:
9
Risk, Intermediate Input Prices and Missing Deflation During the Great Recession
Kara, Engin
-
2015
During the Great Recession, despite the large fall in output,
inflation
did not fall much. This is known as the missing …
inflation
during the Great Recession. We show that
inflation
did not fall much because intermediate goods prices were increasing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019044
Saved in:
10
Is the Anchoring of Consumers'
Inflation
Expectations Shaped by
Inflation
Experience?
Dräger, Lena
-
2018
In this paper, we explore the degree of anchoring of consumers' individual long-run
inflation
expectations utilizing …-run
inflation
expectations became more anchored over the last decades, as the degree of co-movement between short- and long … seems that older cohorts, who experienced the high
inflation
period of the 1970s, remain less anchored in their long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012915565
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