Osterloh, Steffen - In: Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik) 54 (2008) 1, pp. 27-57
In this paper the accuracy of a wide range of German business cycle forecasters is assessed for the period from 1995 to 2005. For this purpose, a data set is used comprising forecasts published on a monthly basis by Consensus Economics. The application of several descriptive as well as...