Progress in information technologies has enabled to apply computer-intensive methods to statistical analysis. In time series modeling, sequential Monte Carlo method was developed for general nonlinear non-Gaussian state-space models and it enables to consider very complex nonlinear non-Gaussian...

Discrete-time stochastic volatility (SV) models have generated a considerable literature in financial econometrics. However, carrying out inference for these models is a difficult task and often relies on carefully customized Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques. Our contribution here is twofold....

The majority of modelling and inference regarding Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) assumes that the number of underlying states is known a priori. However, this is often not the case and thus determining the appropriate number of underlying states for a HMM is of considerable interest. This paper...

We discuss a new class of spatially varying, simultaneous autoregressive (SVSAR) models motivated by interests in flexible, non-stationary spatial modelling scalable to higher dimensions. SVSAR models are hierarchical Markov random fields extending traditional SAR models. We develop Bayesian...

This paper proposes an estimation method for superposed spatial point patterns of Neyman–Scott cluster processes of different distance scales and cluster sizes. Unlike the ordinary single Neyman–Scott model, the superposed process of Neyman–Scott models is not identified solely by the...

During the past few decades, substantial research has been carried out on start-up demonstration tests. In this paper, we study the class of binary start-up demonstration tests under a general framework. Assuming that the outcomes of the start-up tests are described by a sequence of exchangeable...

Regularity conditions for an improper prior function to be regarded as a virtually proper prior density are proposed, and their implications are discussed. The two regularity conditions require that a prior function is defined as a limit of a sequence of proper prior densities and also that the...

We describe various sets of conditional independence relationships, sufficient for qualitatively comparing non-vanishing squared partial correlations of a Gaussian random vector. These sufficient conditions are satisfied by several graphical Markov models. Rules for comparing degree of...

In this paper, we introduce the notion of efficiency (consistency) and examine some asymptotic properties of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. We apply these results to the data augmentation (DA) procedure for independent and identically distributed observations. More precisely, we show that if...

This paper develops an asymptotic expansion technique in momentum space for stochastic filtering. It is shown that Fourier transformation combined with a polynomial-function approximation of the nonlinear terms gives a closed recursive system of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) for the...