BRIO, Esther B.; PEROTE, Javier - In: Applied Econometrics and International Development 8 (2008) 1, pp. 53-58
The current research examines the capacity of the Edgeworth-Sargan density on forecasting market crashes. Focusing on the 1987 stock market crash the performance of this distribution is compared to the Student’s t concluding that the latter overestimates the risk. In contrast, and due to its...