Theoretical and empirical research suggests that import competition within European markets imposes a major constraint on domestic firms's price-cost margins. The programme for the completion of the European Community's (EC) internal market by 1992 is largely based on the effects expected from a...

The persistently high rate of unemployment has probably been Western Europe's most important economic problem of the 1970s and 1980s. Average unemployment rose relentlessly between the early seventies and the mid-eighties, in contrast to the United States, where unemployment has displayed a...

This paper uses comparative statistics in a simple three-period overlapping generations model to show that any pay-as-you-go mechanism for public retirement pensions, when adopted in a dualistic economic system, penalises the most dynamic demographic groups, i.e., the <MI>developing<D> rather than the...</d></mi>

This paper examines and compares the effectiveness of hedging and buffer-stock strategies for stabilizing the revenues of individual producers who face different supply conditions in a market with uncertainty about prices and output. The results are obtained in a model-free framework, with...

The semiconductor arrangement was intended to enhance free trade based on market principles. This paper argues that the arrangement had exactly the opposite effect. The arrangement has two parts: a price floor to prevent predatory pricing, and provisions to double U.S. market share in Japan to...

This paper provides forecasts derived from Bayesian vector autoregressive (BVAR) models for the output growth, inflation and balance of payments of the G-5 and G-7 countries. These forecasts are compared with those derived from alternative time series models and with those provided by the...

This paper responds to the important pedagogical exercise of Khan and Montiel (1989). Those authors integrate the Polak monetary model of macroeconomic adjustment with a two-gap growth model to study `adjustment with growth'. Here we nest both the Polak and the Khan and Montiel models in a very...

We analyse the buy-back of its debt by an LDC. Contrary to the analyses that were previously done on this subject, we assume that the debtor can hide its transactions behind the veil of a fictitious operator: the banks, we assume, cannot discriminate intra-bank transactions from buy-backs by the...

We present a pricing model for secondary market debt designed to assess the impact of debt reduction on valuation of remaining claims and to value guarantees in various forms. The technique used, option pricing, accounts explicitly for the sources and natures of risks on secondary market pricing...

This paper gives a valuation formula for LDC debt that is used to assess: i) the price at which a buy-back of the debt is advantageous to the country (we shall see that it is likely to be half the observed market price); ii) the value to the creditors of having the flows of payment guaranteed...