One challenge presented by population aging is how to adjust public support for social care in a way that achieves desired quality of life outcomes without compromising budget sustainability. This study uses best-practice methods of economic analysis to explore projections for care and related...

We examine the evolution of the gender income gap in UK and Ireland between 2008 and 2019 by income decile and decompose it to evaluate the relative importance of gender differences in working hours, self-employment, and hourly pay, as well as the redistributive effect of the tax-benefit system....

Universal Credit (UC) was a large-scale reform of the UK welfare system reform, replacing six existing benefits. UC aimed to simplify claims and encourage more claimants into work. We identify its effect on mental well-being, treating the phased rollout from 2013-2018 as a natural experiment. We...

This report documents the application of the SimPaths dynamic microsimulation framework – originally developed with reference to the UK – to the Italian context. The report describes model structure and adaptation with respect to the UK template, the input data used, and discusses...

Social assistance for education is one of several instruments in Indonesia to support poor and vulnerable people. There are two main programs which is Family Hope Program (PKH) and Smart Indonesia Program (PIP). Analyzing the distributional impact to both programs is very important to improve...

This study provides the first comparative analysis of how COVID-19 policy responses influenced gender income inequality across 28 European countries. Using a quasi-experimental approach that combines microsimulation and nowcasting techniques, we construct counterfactual scenarios to estimate the...

Development of microsimulation models often requires reweighting some input dataset to reflect the characteristics of a different population of interest. In this paper we explore a machine learning approach whereas a variant of decision trees (Gradient Boosted Machine) is used to replicate the...