This paper describes the regional extension of USAGE-ITC, a 500-order dynamic CGE model of the US that we are developing in collaboration with the International Trade Commission. With the regional extension, USAGE-ITC can project the effects on employment and output by state of policy and other...

This paper describes historical and decomposition simulations undertaken for 1992 to 1998 with a 500-sector CGE model of the US. The historical simulation provides estimates of movements in unobservable technology and preference variables. The decomposition simulation explains developments in...

Some countries have the resources and capacity to save more than the other countries. This paper analyses the determinants of annual saving. The analysis uses the optimal saving function which is derived from the household inter-temporal utility maximisation. The predictions from the comparative...

We use a 500-industry CGE model of the U.S. to simulate the macro, industry and state effects of removing major U.S. tariffs and quotas. We find that this would generate a welfare gain of 0.07 per cent. For most industries, the output change would be negligible but for sugar, butter and several...

The paper describes historical and decomposition simulations of the Australian economy undertaken with the MONASH model. The simulations cover the period 1996/97 to 2001/02. The paper first describes the historical simulation. In the historical simulation, many of those sectoral variables in...

Accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO) marks a new era in China's economic reform. In this new era, state capital will lose its dominance of pillar industries such as iron and steel, automobile, petrochemicals, non-ferrous metal, insurance, telecommunication, banking, wholesale, and...

The contribution of an industry to the economy is often measured by an input-output calculation showing labour used directly in the industry and indirectly via the production of intermediate inputs for the industry. This paper demonstrates an alternative approach based on simulations with a...

This document compares several methods of computing price and quantity indices, with special reference to the small-change computations used by GEMPACK. Accompanying worked examples, using Excel and GEMPACK, can be downloaded from the <a href= "../archivep.htm">CoPS archive</a>.

RunMONASH, a software program, written by Ken Pearson, is used to solve the CGE model, MONASH. RunMONASH produces a base case forecast for a set of years in sequence. In response to some additional policy shocks, RunMONASH calculates a policy deviation from this base case, again for the same...

This paper documents analysis of the economic effects of the proposed free trade agreement between Australia and the USA using a specially-built dynamic version of the GTAP world general equilibrium model. At the core of the new model is the standard GTAP Version 6.0 framework, released in April...