Euler-equation methods for solving nonlinear dynamic models involve parameterizing some policy functions. We argue that in the typical macroeconomic model with valuable leisure, labor function is particularly convenient for parameterizing. This is because under the labor-function...

Population learning in dynamic economies with endogenous network formation has been traditionally studied in basic settings where agents face quite simple and predictable strategic situations (e.g. coordination). In this paper, we start instead to explore economies where the payoff landscape is...

This paper is concerned with statistical inference for the coefficient of the linear regression model when the error term follows an autoregressive (AR) model. Past studies have reported severe size distortions, when the data are trending and autocorrelation of the error term is high. In this...

We present three approaches to value American continuous-installment options written on assets without dividends or with continuous dividend yield. In an American continuous-installment option, the premium is paid continuously instead of up-front. At or before maturity, the holder may terminate...

The standard neoclassical growth model with quasi-geometric discounting is shown elsewhere (Krusell, P. and Smith, A., CEPR Discussion Paper No. 2651, 2000) to have multiple solutions. As a result, value-iterative methods fail to converge. The set of equilibria is however reduced if we restrict...

Several previous works show that, in general, financial time series are characterized by periods of large volatility followed by periods of relative quitness. In this paper we consider the product partition model (PPM) to identify changes in the volatility extending it to identify multiple...

The paper treats opinion dynamics under bounded confidence when agents employ, beside an arithmetic mean, means like a geometric mean, a power mean or a random mean in aggregating opinions. The different kinds of collective dynamics resulting from these various ways of averaging are studied and...

Automated model searches using information criteria are used for the estimation of linear single equation models. Genetic algorithms are described and used for this purpose. These algorithms are shown to be a practical method for model selection when the number of sub-models are very large....

The conditioning of strategies by market environment and the simultaneous emergence of market structure in the presence of evolving trading strategies are investigated with major international stock indexes. Models for price forecasting and trading strategies evolution are examined under...

We model a simple communication network model for the evolution of heterogeneous beliefs in an overlapping generation economy. Each agent gathers information from his contacts and forms an inflation forecast based on this information, using the belief generation procedures. When the actual...