Portfolio manager's performance is often evaluated respect to a predetermined market benchmark. Usually the benchmark is an equity/bond portfolio or index for which the percentage and the bond duration are specified, so the manager's aim is to build a portfolio whose performance replicates the...

This paper presents a dynamic model of job search behavior over the Life Cycle. Individuals endogenously make consumption-saving, labor-leisure, and search decisions under capital, lifetime and wage uncertainty. We extend recent research on these types of stochastic dynamic programming models to...

Agent-based modeling is emerging as a promising new tool for constructing spatially detailed models of land use. Agent-based models offer several advantages over previously used techniques, since they are well suited for modeling complex phenomenon. Several important sources of complexity...

This paper explores the phenomenon of lasting deviations of the exchange rate from its fundamental value in the foreign exchange market. Motivated by empirical observations a chartists-fundamentalists model is developed in which boundedly rational agents repeatedly choose between technical and...

Lattice methods are often used to value derivative instruments. Multinomial lattice methods can in principle converge to the true value of the derivative to very high order. In this paper we describe how very high order multinomial lattices can be constructed and implemented when the SDE...

In this paper, I consider a simple model in which agents learn about the inflation target of a central bank over time by observing the policy instrument or inflation outcomes. Measuring credibility as the distance between the perceived target and the actual target, an increase in credibility is...

Since the beginning of this century, the normal distribution has played a central role in the mathematical finance literature. However, major drawbacks insight this assumption rely in the absence of closed form expressions for both its cumulative and probability density functions. Additionally,...

This paper introduces Bayesian inference in a Markov switching partial cointegration model. The partial cointegration allows the cointegration relationships to be switched on and off depending on the regime, unlike conventional cointegration analysis that assumes linear adjustment toward...

The purpose of this paper is to examine whether the level of inflation matters for the persistence of output growth when shocks to output have asymmetric effects. The idea that inflation could have such threshold effects is worth investigating because some authors have suggested that a low...

This paper considers the behavior of the exchange rate in a very simple artificial currency market with two currencies and artificial agents who evolve their forecast rules over time via a genetic algorithm. I consider two simple forecast rules, one linear and the other non-linear. Under the...