In this paper, three approaches are presented for generating scenario trees for financial portfolio problems. These are based on simulation, optimization and a hybrid simulation/optimization method. In the simulation approach, the price scenarios at each time period are generated as the...

Do international business cycles only represent optimal responses by rational agents to erratic changes in technology, or are they also influenced by factors that are unrelated to fundamentals? This paper addresses this issue by exploring the role of such non-fundamental factors in improving...

This paper considers a two-country world where the population in one country grows faster than the other, and investigates the effects of resulting age composition differences across countries on international trade flows under alternative simulation scenarios, using an overlapping-generations...

The ultimatum game is (in)famous for its `anomalies': The outcomes of laboratory experiments are very different from the results generated by traditional game theory. This paper aims to find to what extent these discrepancies between theory and experiments can be explained by the effects of...

We propose using the information revealed through auctions, including in particular the unsuccessful bids, to identify latent demand. Applied to combinatorial auctions for bundles of goods, this information can identify new bundles with particularly high valuations, expressed by their high...

This paper presents a model of adoption and diffusion of innovations that concern the technology of e-commerce. First, a model of optimal adoption of e-commerce innovation is presented. In this model web companies are assumed to behave in an imitative way: facing an innovation of uncertain...

In this paper we develop an algorithm to numerically solve dynamic stochastic overlapping generations economies. In our model agents live for six periods and face idiosyncratic as well as aggregate uncertainty with respect to their labor and capital income. Insurance markets are absent and...

We examine the dynamic properties of equilibrium stock returns in an incomplete information economy in which the agents need to learn the hidden state of the endowment process. We consider both the case of optimal Bayesian learning and suboptimal learning, including near-rational learning, over-...

This paper proposes agent-based formulation of a Supply Chain Management(SCM) system for manufacturing firms. We model each firm as an intelligent agent, which communicates each other through the blackboard architecture in distributed artificial intelligence. To overcome the issues of...

One of the important determinants of fertility behavior is the value (cost and benefits) of children as perceived by parents. This value is likely to vary by child and parental characteristics, household income, and other aspects of the socioeconomic environment. Since it is non-economic as well...