Differential equations with advanced and delayed time arguments may arise in the optimality conditions of simple growth models with delays. Models with investment gestation lags (time-to-build), consumption gestation lags (habit formation) or learning by using lie in this category. In this...

This paper focuses on the role of government capital as a critical productive input when the level of services that the agent derives from it is subject to congestion. I develop a two-sector “non-scale†production model in which there are two types of firms, conventional...

Shifts in the long-run rate of productivity growth--such as those those experienced by the U.S. economy in the 1970s and 1990s--are difficult in real time to distinguish from transitory fluctuations. In this paper, we explore how economists' projections of trend productivity growth gradually...

When exploring solutions to long-term environmental problems such as climate change, it is crucial to understand how the rates and directions of technological change may interact with environmental policies in the presence of uncertainty. This paper analyzes optimal technological portfolios for...

In this study we build two forecasting models to predict inflation for the Netherlands and for the euro area. Inflation is the yearly change of the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP). The models provide point forecasts and prediction intervals for both the components of the HICP and the...

When crossing the boundary of stability of a given dynamical system only indicates a bifurcation point and the type of the bifurcating solutions. But it doesn't tell us how and how many new solutions bifurcate or disappear in a bifurcation point. To answer this question one has to take into...

In this paper a variety of computational optimal control techniques are compared on a complicated nonlinear discrete-time model. We use a labor market model with the objective of trying to obtain an unemployment rate objective, using an active labor market program as a control. In reality the...

We extend a standard monetary quantitative model to provide a richer role for financial intermediaries and to generate greater persistence in the effects of monetary policy shocks. We first assume that existing clients of banks operate a diminishing returns to scale technology. Second, we assume...

We seek to shed new light on the social process of political opinion formation from an evolutionary perspective.We propose a model in which heterogeneous citizens collectively learn and modify their opinions about the most convenient size of public expenditure for the economy. In Section 1, we...

A growing body of evidence finds that policy reaction functions vary substantially over different periods in the United States. This paper explores how moving to an environment in which monetary and fiscal regimes evolve according to a Markov process can change the impacts of policy shocks....