In this paper we consider the quadratic optimal control problem with regime shifts and forward-looking agents. This extends the results of Zampolli (2003) who considered models without forward-looking expectations. Two algorithms are presented: The first algorithm computes the solution of a...

Collateral is one of the most important and widespread credit risk mitigation techniques used by practitioners. This paper studies the effect of mark-to-market (MTM) timing in collateral agreements on the contingent credit risk exposure. We measure contingent credit risk exposure using Potential...

The relationship between income inequality and economic growth is re-examined using a semiparametric, dynamic panel data model. Significant empirical evidence is uncovered supporting the theory that the relationship between these variables is nonlinear. Additionally, the evidence also supports...

We propose a multivariate nonparametric technique for generating reliable historical yield curve scenarios and confidence intervals. The approach is based on a Functional Gradient Descent (FGD) estimation of the conditional mean vector and volatility matrix of a multivariate interest rate...

The sine and cosine functions used as the bases in Fourier analysis are very smooth (infinitely differentiable) and very broad (nonzero almost everywhere on the real line), and hence they are not effective for representing functions that change abruptly (jumps) or have highly localized support...

This paper studies algorithms for equilibrium problems with equilibrium constraints (EPECs). We present a generalization of Scholtes’s regularization scheme for MPECs and extend his convergence results to this new relaxation method. We propose a sequential nonlinear complementarity (SNCP)...

International capital flows have increased dramatically since the 1980s, with much of the increase being due to trade in equity and debt markets. Such developments are often attributed to the increased integration of world financial markets. We present a model that allows us to examine how...

Equity market crashes or booms are extreme realizations of the underlying return distribution. This paper questions whether booms are more or less likely than crashes and whether emerging markets crash more frequently than developed equity markets. We apply Extreme Value Theory (EVT) to...

Recent empirical studies have demonstrated that behaviour of interest rate processes can be better explained if standard diffusion processes are augmented with jumps in the interest rate process. In this paper we examine the performance of both linear and non-linear one factor CKLS model in the...

This paper provides a formal definition of emergence, operative in multi-agent framework and which make sense from both a cognitive and an economics point of view. The first part discuses the ontological and epistemic dimension of emergence and provides a complementary set of definitions....