Estimation of forward-looking interest rate rules is ubiquitous in the context of developed economy central banks. This paper considers the five countries in Latin America that have adopted the Inflation Targeting framework and performs estimations of forward-looking rules via i) standard...

Using a macro-econometric model that is specified for the current Chinese economy, we investigate the performance of monetary policy in China with the assumption (which anyway will occur in the near future) that capital market was opened. Our purpose is to find how the monetary authority should...

Apart from the risk premium of equity over bonds, volatility of asset prices and trading volumes are two aspects of the already developed general equilibrium asset pricing theory that fail to show any resemblance with real data. The assumption of agent homogeneity has been relaxed in a number of...

We reconsider the derivation of the traditional capital asset pricing model (CAPM) in the discrete time setting for a portfolio of one riskless asset and many risky assets. In contrast to the standard setting, it is assumed that agents are heterogeneous in their conditional means and covariances...

This paper analyzes if each European country presents business cycles that are similar enough to validate what some authors call the European cycle. Contrary to the majority of papers on business cycles, we concentrate on the appearance of the cycle, not on the synchronization. We provide a...

This paper develops a general equilibrium model with Dixit-Stiglitz preferences, monopolistic competition and rational inattention on the side of both households and firms. We show how to solve a general equilibrium model with rational inattention. We use the model to study how rational...

This paper analyzes effects of tax-favored savings plans on savings and retirement decisions in a realistically specified life-cycle model. Individuals face mortality risk and stochastic earnings, allocate assets between conventional savings accounts (CSAs) and tax-deferred accounts (TDAs), make...

Three methods have been developed by the authors for solving optimal experimentation problems. David Kendrick (1981, 2002, Ch.10) uses quadratic approximation of the value function and linear approximation of the equation of motion to simulate general optimal experimentation (active learning)...

The asymptotic distribution of the QML estimator for GARCH processes, with coefficients possibly equal to zero, is established. This distribution is the projection of a normal vector distribution onto a convex cone. The results are derived under mild conditions which, for important subclasses,...

This work is dedicated to comparative analysis and estimation of quantitative methods of risk valuation in application to Russian stock market, which include historical simulation, exponentially-weighted historical simulation, variance-covariance models with adaptive covariance matrix,...