This paper serves two purposes. First, it investigates to what extent a New Keynesian monetary model with the addition of a microfounded, non-Walrasian labor market based on union bargaining is able to replicate key aspects of the business cycle. Second, it explores the influence of this setting...

Here I consider the dynamics of interest rate processes in the multi-factor model specified in Heath, Jarrow and Morton (1992). Despite its flexibility and theoretical advances, the number of empirical studies using the HJM model remains inadequate, principally because of the difficulty...

The objective of this paper is the evaluation of different Value at Risk (VaR) methodologies. In particular, four VaR methodologies (Normal, GARCH, Historical Simulation and Extreme Values (EV)), are compared for 36 indexes covering stock-exchanges worldwide. This paper proposes for the EV...

This paper evaluates whether an estimated, structural, small open economy model of the Canadian economy can account for the substantial influence of foreign-sourced disturbances identified in numerous reduced-form studies. The analysis shows that the benchmark model --- and a number of variants...

Until recently, latent variable models such as the factor analysis model for metric responses, the two-parameter logistic model for binary responses, the multinomial model for nominal responses considered only main effects of latent variables without allowing for interaction or polynomial latent...

In this paper, I propose a term structure model which bridges the gap between affine no-arbitrage model and Nelson and Siegel one. My model outperforms significantly in fitting the yield curve, in rejecting the expectation hypothesis and in out-of-sample forecasting. The second point helps to...

We consider consistent tests for stochastic dominance efficiency at any order of a given portfolio with respect to all possible portfolios constructed from a set of assets. We propose and justify approaches based on simulation and the block bootstrap to achieve valid inference in a time series...

This paper estimates a monetary DSGE model with labor market search with Bayesian methods to explain the fall in U.S. inflation in the 1980s and 1990s. After the high inflation of the 1970s, the U.S. have experienced low and stable for two decades. An obvious reason for the fall in inflation is...

The empirical difficulties associated with estimating the effects of changes in interest rates and corporate tax policy on business fixed investment are often blamed on a lack of identification. In this paper, we study the effect of variation in interest rates on investment spending, employing a...

Over the last two decades the United Kingdom has experienced a dramatic increase in the amount of household debt and in the level of house prices. The question which interests us is the extent to which these developments can be explained through structural changes to the UK economy. These...