This article uses the IMF’s Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal Model (GIMF) to assess the impact of fiscal consolidation on the Czech economy. Its contribution is threefold. First, it provides estimates of dynamic fiscal multipliers for a variety of fiscal instruments (tax and expenditure),...

The authors use a nonlinear framework in order to explore house price determinants and adjustment properties. They test for threshold cointegration using a sample of four developed countries (the United States, the United Kingdom, Spain, and Ireland) and four transition countries (Bulgaria,...

The current study evaluates the performance of the Fama and French three-factor model in a global setting with stocks selected from 15 European countries. We employed the multivariate regression approach after sorting six portfolios according to size and book-to-market. The constituent stocks...

There is no consensus in the literature as to which model should be used to estimate stock returns and the cost of capital in the emerging markets. The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), which is most often used for this purpose in the developed markets, has a poor empirical record and is...

Stock markets in Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries significantly collapsed during the financial crisis of 2008. We studied whether the collapse of stock markets in CEE countries was due to international linkages of deteriorating fundamentals or international spillovers of speculative...

Due to the overwhelming international evidence that stock prices drop by less than the dividend paid on ex-dividend days, the ex-dividend day anomaly is considered a stylized fact. Two main approaches have emerged to explain this empirical regularity: the tax-clientele hypothesis and the...

In this article, the authors investigate the possible time-varying structure of DSGE models. They follow the study of Andrle et al. (2009), which argues that models designed for monetary policy analysis and forecasting of an economy that is undergoing structural changes must include exogenous...

Credit scoring models are widely used to predict the probability of client default. To measure the quality of such scoring models it is possible to use quantitative indices such as the Gini index, Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistics (KS), Lift, the Mahalanobis distance, and information statistics....

The novelty of this article is its theoretical framework, which allows for modeling of an announced change in the type of monetary regime operated. The behavior of a small open economy that has announced the adoption of a monetary policy regime of offsetting nominal exchange rate changes is...

This paper is written by authors from the technical and economic fields who are motivated to find a common language and views on the problem of the optimal use of information in model estimation. The center of their interest is the natural condition of control – a common assumption in Bayesian...