In the early 1980s scholars and laymen expected an explosion of terrorism fed by media attention. Instead, the quantity of terrorism settled into familiar patterns, rather than spiraling upward. This paper attempts to explain why the dire predictions did not come to pass. We develop theory that...

Formal models of international conflict have tended to concentrate on change across the security dimension, assuming that the state level economic and political dimensions are constant. However, the conclusion of the Cold War suggests that over the long run these dimensions are not constant;...

The main goal of this paper is to evaluate recent trends in Russian military reorganization. In this effort, we enlist the experience of the US military's transition from conscription to an all-volunteer force (AVF). We show how the US 1970s transition to market-based acquisition of labor...

Most previous studies use a dyad as the unit of analysis and ignore the simultaneity of trade and conflict. The goal of this paper is to find out whether multi-country trade and conflict relations are statistically significant and the nature of those relations. We employ a multi-country,...

Whose preferences determine the tradeoff between security and civilian output in deciding upon budget allocations to defence? This paper considers the role that consumer preferences might play in influencing military spending. We propose normative criteria to judge the economic or political...

This paper explores some of the key issues associated with the restructuring of the defence industry. A comparison is made between the US and the European Defence Industrial Bases in terms of the drivers for change and the paradigms within which change has taken place. Having shown that some...

Almost no systematic empirical analyses exist directly comparing defense and commercial manufacturing processes. A unique survey of nearly 1000 US manufacturing establishments allows a comparison of similar manufacturing processes in the machining intensive durable goods industries, which...

This paper analyses the behaviour of Spanish public spending on defence for the period 1850-1995. Through the use of recent cointegration and unit root techniques, we demonstrate the existence of an equilibrium relationship between this variable and Spanish GDP during the years in question....

The procurement expenditures financed by the Defence Industry Fund, the main administering body of the Turkish modernization program since 1983, have been an overlooked issue. A comparative discussion is attempted on the extent of defence expenditures during 1980-1997 with national data, using...

There are a number of studies which consider the relation between military spending and economic growth using Granger causality techniques rather than a well-defined economic model. Some have used samples of groups of countries, finding no consistent results. Others have focused on case studies...