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Subject
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Consumer price index 1 Forecasting model 1 Inflation 1 Preisindex 1 Price index 1 Prognoseverfahren 1 Saisonale Schwankungen 1 Seasonal variations 1 Theorie 1 Theory 1 Time series analysis 1 Verbraucherpreisindex 1 Zeitreihenanalyse 1
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Free 1
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Book / Working Paper 1
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English 1
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Fang, Xu 1 Lütkepohl, Helmut 1
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EUI Max Weber Programme Working Paper 1
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ECONIS (ZBW) 1
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Forecasting Annual Inflation with Seasonal Monthly Data : Using Levels Versus Logs of the Underlying Price Index
Lütkepohl, Helmut - 2009
This paper investigates whether using natural logarithms (logs) of price indices for forecasting inflation rates is preferable to employing the original series. Univariate forecasts for annual inflation rates for a number of European countries and the USA based on monthly seasonal consumer price...
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