Interview with ForesightÕs New Editor for Forecasting Support Systems Copyright International Institute of Forecasters, 2015

In this eye-opening article, Steve Morlidge shows that when our demand histories are intermittent, we should rethink the use of our most common accuracy metrics for selecting a best forecast method. The problem is acute because many software applications use these metrics for performance...

StephanÕs review of this new book by Thomopoulos begins, ÒStay away from this book.Ó The reviewer goes on to explain both his reservations about its content and method as well as the features he likes. Copyright International Institute of Forecasters, 2015

The United Nations publishes projections of populations around the world and breaks these down by age and sex. Traditionally, they are produced with standard demographic methods based on assumptions about future fertility rates, survival probabilities, and migration counts. Such projections,...

We know that many businesses have a short-term focus in their planning and operations. In this article, Tom, Chad, and John note that companies often take a reactive posture to crises in their supply chains, failing to consider and manage events that present important risks and opportunities....

Foresight tutorials are designed to be nontechnical overviews of important methodologies, enabling business forecasters to make more informed use of their forecasting software. In this tutorial on regression modeling, Geoff Allen takes us through the origin and structure of a regression model,...

When you flick that switch, you expect the lights to go on Ð but the business of keeping them on is not nearly as straightforward. Dr. Tao Hong offers a practical overview of energy forecasting; itÕs an important task, one that electric utilities have been doing daily for over a century, but...

The set of M-competitions Ð comparing the forecasting accuracy of two dozen common time series methods Ð is a landmark in our understanding of how different methods fare on a variety of data types. For example, one common procedure, the trend line extrapolation available in Excel, emerged as...

The Map and the Territory is Federal Reserve Board chairman Alan Greenspan?s reflection on our most recent economic upheaval (which is normally dated to begin following the end of his term as chairman). Reviewer Geoff Allen tells us: ?What you will learn from this book are some nice, personal...

Ganeshan describes how retailers can benefit using Clickstream Analysis for Forecasting Online Behavior. A clickstream is an online trail, a prospective customer?s sequence of keystrokes or mouse clicks made as they consider making a purchase on the Internet. Through capture and analysis of the...