This note discusses a simple quasi-Monte Carlo method to evaluate numerically the ultimate ruin probability in the classical compound Poisson risk model. The key point is the Pollaczek-Khintchine representation of the non-ruin probability as a series of convolutions. Our suggestion is to...

This paper is dedicated to risk analysis of credit portfolios. Assuming that default indicators form an exchangeable sequence of Bernoulli random variables and as a consequence of de Finetti's theorem, default indicators are Binomial mixtures. We can characterize the supermodular order between...

In modeling and forecasting mortality the Lee-Carter approach is the benchmark methodology. In many empirical applications the Lee-Carter approach results in a model that describes the log central death rates by means of linear trends. However, due to the volatility in (past) mortality data, the...

This paper considers the optimal control problem of the insurance company with proportional reinsurance policy under solvency constraints. The management of the company controls the reinsurance rate and dividends payout processes to maximize the expected present value of the dividend until the...

Let X denote the loss initially assumed by an insurer. In a reinsurance design, the insurer cedes part of its loss, say f(X), to a reinsurer, and thus the insurer retains a loss If(X)=X-f(X). In return, the insurer is obligated to compensate the reinsurer for undertaking the risk by paying the...

In the classical Cramér-Lundberg model in risk theory the problem of maximizing the expected cumulated discounted dividend payments until ruin is a widely discussed topic. In the most general case within that framework it is proved [Gerber, H.U., 1968. Entscheidungskriterien fuer den...

A new insurance provider or a regulatory agency may be interested in determining a risk measure consistent with observed market prices of a collection of risks. Using a relationship between distorted coherent risk measures and spectral risk measures, we provide a method for reconstructing...

Most of the recently-defined notions of positive or negative dependence rely upon a variety of orderings of bivariate random vectors. These orderings are generally partial orders, and thus there are many pairs of random vectors which are not comparable. By using a weakened version of stochastic...

We investigate some investment problems of maximizing the expected utility of the terminal wealth in a simple Lévy market, where the stock price is driven by a Brownian motion plus a Poisson process. The optimal investment portfolios are given explicitly under the hypotheses that the utility...

In this paper, we study stochastic orders of scalar products of random vectors. Based on the study of Ma [Ma, C., 2000. Convex orders for linear combinations of random variables. J. Statist. Plann. Inference 84, 11-25], we first obtain more general conditions under which linear combinations of...