Cointegration analyses of macroeconomic time series are often not based on fully specified theoretical models. We use a theoretical model to scrutinize common procedures in applied cointegration analysis. Monte Carlo experiments show that 1) some tests of the cointegration vectors do not work...

This paper proposes a method of data analysis founded on the philosophy and understanding of uncertain knowledge developed by Bruno de Finetti. Specifically, the paper investigates the informational content of interest rates for the prediction of M1. This empirical application replicates that of...

This paper compares the familiar probit model with three semiparametric estimators of binary response models in an application to labour market participation of married women. This exercise is performed using two different cross-section data sets from Switzerland and Germany. For the Swiss data...

In a recent paper Mercenier and Sekkat (1988) use a linear-quadratic model to examine the willingness of a monetary authority in a small open economy to target its exchange rate. Based on their empirical results, the authors conclude that the Bank of Canada has displayed a willingness to use the...

We analyse transitions between pensionable jobs, non-pensionable jobs, and other labour market states, using the 1988/9 UK Retirement Survey. We focus on the positive association between length of job tenure and pensionable status, allowing for the possibility that pension scheme members are...

Previous work on the preferred specification of hedonic price models usually recommended a Box-Cox model. In this paper we note that any parametric model involves implicit restrictions and they can be reduced by using a semiparametric model. We estimate a benchmark parametric model which passes...