SUMMARY This paper builds on the methods of local instrumental variables developed by Heckman and Vytlacil (1999, 2001, 2005) to estimate person‐centered treatment (PeT) effects that are conditioned on the person's observed characteristics and averaged over the potential conditional...

SUMMARY This paper examines the asymptotic and finite‐sample properties of tests of equal forecast accuracy when the models being compared are overlapping in the sense of Vuong (Econometrica 1989; <b>57</b>: 307–333). Two models are overlapping when the true model contains just a subset of variables...

SUMMARY Holly, Pesaran, and Yamagata (Journal of Econometrics 2010; <b>158</b>: 160–173) use a panel of 49 states over the period 1975–2003 to show that state‐level real housing prices are driven by economic fundamentals, such as real per capita disposable income, as well as by common shocks, such as...

SUMMARY We study the effects of financial incentives on retirement decisions using stated preference data. Dutch survey respondents were given hypothetical retirement scenarios describing age(s) of (partial and full) retirement and replacement rate(s). A stylized model is estimated in which...

SUMMARY This paper estimates a dynamic ordered probit model of self‐assessed health with two fixed effects: one in the linear index equation and one in the cut‐points. This robustly controls for heterogeneity in unobserved health status and in reporting behavior, although we cannot separate...

SUMMARY Empirical modelling of the linkages between the euro area and the USA requires an open economy framework. The methodology proposed in this paper achieves identification of a structural vector error correction model by supplementing restrictions from economic theory with assumptions for...

SUMMARY In this paper we investigate the demand for gasoline in Canada using recent annual expenditure data from the Canadian Survey of Household Spending, over a 13‐year period from 1997 to 2009, on three expenditure categories in the transportation sector: gasoline, local transportation, and...

SUMMARY This paper estimates the effects of unilateral divorce laws on divorce rates in the USA from a panel of state‐level divorce rates. We use the interactive fixed‐effects model to address the issue of endogeneity due to the association between cross‐state unobserved heterogeneity and...

SUMMARY The inability of empirical models to forecast exchange rates has given rise to the belief that exchange rates are disconnected from macroeconomic fundamentals. This paper addresses the potential disconnect by endogenously selecting forecast models from a broad set of fundamentals. The...

SUMMARY Vector autoregressive methods have been used to model the interrelationships between job vacancy rates, job separation rates and job‐finding rates using tools such as impulse response analysis. We investigate whether such impulse responses change across the business cycle or over time,...