A vast literature has focused on what causes businesses to move into informality and what is the impact of an enlarging informal sector on growth. This paper shows that the size of the informal economy also affects business cycle volatility. Informal businesses are usually small in size, which...

This paper provides a formal theoretical framework for analyzing the sustainability of fiscal policy based on the government intertemporal budget constraint, and derives conditions that determine whether a fiscal stance is sustainable in the medium and long term. In contrast to previous studies,...

Long term contracts increase the hazard of ex post maladaptation, creating demand for processes that enable adaptation over the course of long-term exchange. Enabling adaptation, however, may diminish the effectiveness of the long-term contracts, designed as prima facie hold-up remedies....

Several recent theories postulate why some countries were able to devise institutions conducive to long-run economic growth whereas others were not. Most of these consider various historical factors or geographic characteristics as important predeterminants. But which of these theories comes...

To date, mixed demand systems have been all but ignored in empirical work. A possible reason for the scarcity of such applications is that one needs to know a priori which prices and quantities are endogenous in the mixed demand system. By using a directed acyclical graph (DAG), causal...

This paper tests empirically the credit-constraints thesis by using cross-country data on secondary and higher-education enrolment rates. Contrary to some previous works in this direction, we find several pieces of evidence that support the importance of such a thesis. First, controlling for the...

This paper develops a stable common currency for mid-sized open monetary economies with incomplete markets in general and the Mercosur countries in particular. The proposed currency is constructed as a derivative of a dynamic portfolio of securities that proxies the nominal exchange risk factors...

This paper investigates the convergence between the prices of ADRs and Mexican traded shares using a sample of 21 dually listed shares. Since both markets have similar trading hours, standard arbitrage considerations should make persistent deviation from price parity rare. We use a STAR model,...

This paper uses a static spatial banking model with a non-uniform wealth distribution to provide theoretical assessments for differences in banks’ prices and locations across regions. It assumes imperfect information, where banks know more about individuals if they are “near” the bank and...

This paper presents a political economy model of exchange rate policy. The theory is based on a common agency approach with rational expectations. Financial and exporter lobbies exert political pressures to influence the government’s choice of exchange rate policy, before shocks to the economy...