Experiments on decision-making show that, when people evaluate risk, they often engage in "narrow framing": that is, in contrast to the prediction of traditional utility functions defined over wealth or consumption, they often evaluate risks in isolation, separately from other risks they are...

Estimating linear rational expectations models in a limited-information setting requires replacing the expectations of future, endogenous variables either with instrumented, actual values or with forecast survey data. Applying the method of Gottfries and Persson [Empirical examinations of the...

This paper presents a continuous time overlapping-generation (OLG) model which generalizes the Blanchard-Buiter-Weil model and clarifies the relationships between dynastic altruism, the length of planning horizons, and dynamic inefficiency. Our main innovation relies on the introduction of...

We study a consumption-based asset pricing model with incomplete information and [alpha]-stable shocks. Incomplete information leads to a non-Gaussian filtering problem. Bayesian updating generates fluctuating confidence in the agents' estimate of the persistent component of the dividends'...

The paper analyzes the effectiveness of the constant proportion portfolio insurance (CPPI) method under trading restrictions. If the CPPI method is applied in continuous time, the CPPI strategies provide a value above a floor level unless the price dynamics of the risky asset permit jumps. The...

The distribution of water resources is characterized by increasing returns to scale. Distribution links water generation to its end-use. Standard economic analysis overlooks the interaction among these micro-markets - generation, distribution and end-use. We compare water allocation when there...

This paper studies the equity premium implications of a canonical New Keynesian model with investment. We find that the presence of a time-varying marginal cost dampens the expansionary impact of a positive technology shock. With a given fraction of firms standing ready to satisfy demand at...

Multi-factor credit portfolio models are used widely today for managing economic capital and pricing collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) and asset-backed securities. Commonly, practitioners allocate capital to the portfolio components (sub-portfolios, counterparties, or transactions). The...