Up until now, European fiscal discipline has been essentially assessed on the basis of the deficit rather than on the debt situations of EU countries. However, the sustainability of the public debt depends on the discrepancy between the interest rate and the growth rate of any given country. As...

Foreign investment has been long regarded as the main driver of Singapore's manufacturing sector growth. By making use of annual data for the period 1980-2005, this paper argues that in addition to foreign investment, human capital is also playing a significant role in foresting manufacturing...

Accurate forecasts of aggregate European variables are crucial for conducting a union-wide monetary policy. This paper investigates empirically whether pooling forecasts from disaggregate models is a promising strategy for forecasting actual macroeconomic European variables. In contrast to...

This paper examines aggregate supply conditions in Italy and how they changed from the 1970s to the late 1990s. Based on a VAR model for wages, prices, productivity, unemployment and exchange rate the cointegration properties of the data in nominal and real terms are analysed. Analysis is based...

Economists' focus on institutions in explaining economic growth, while important, can obscure the significant role played by individual entrepreneurs and the process of entrepreneurship. The prevailing view of entrepreneurship in economics (which continues to shape prevailing public policies)...

This paper investigates the fiscal sustainability of two emerging countries - Iran (an oil-producing country) and Turkey (an agricultural country) - for both stochastic and non-stochastic environments. Cointegration and multicointegration methodologies were used to evaluate fiscal budgeting...

We examine some of the most recent works on general equilibrium models that measured the impact of trade liberalisation on household welfare. We modify the standard neo-classical model and apply it to a typical South Asian village economy which is still lagging in studies of policy modelling. We...

This paper analyses the optimal monetary policy under incomplete exchange rate pass-through and asymmetric price rigidity. In a general equilibrium sticky price model of an open economy we find that the optimal interest rate rule is to respond to all types of shocks in an economy: real exchange...