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Year of publication
Subject
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Aggregation 1 Bayes-Statistik 1 Bayesian inference 1 Forecasting model 1 Private consumption 1 Privater Konsum 1 Prognoseverfahren 1 Time series analysis 1 Zeitreihenanalyse 1
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Online availability
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Free 1
Type of publication
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Book / Working Paper 1
Language
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English 1
Author
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Ravazzolo, Francesco 1 Vahey, Shaun P. 1
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Norges Bank Working Paper 2010/02 1
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ECONIS (ZBW) 1
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Forecast Densities for Economic Aggregates from Disaggregate Ensembles
Ravazzolo, Francesco - 2010
We propose a methodology for producing forecast densities for economic aggregates based on disaggregate evidence. Our ensemble predictive methodology utilizes a linear mixture of experts framework to combine the forecast densities from potentially many component models. Each component represents...
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